Leaders of Lebanon’s Kataeb party (Falange faction) and the Lebanese army believe that weakening Hezbollah’s economic power could destabilize its hold on its supporters. This opinion follows revelations that recent assassinations of Hezbollah leaders have not had a significant impact on the group’s operational capabilities. “The assessment within the Phalange and Lebanese forces is that Hezbollah could face a blow that could deplete its financial resources, paralyze it, and cause resentment within its support base and broader Shiite community.” the official said. Yesterday’s anti-Hezbollah coalition.
Proponents of this theory argue that such financial pressures could lead to a “new phase of increased political activity within the Shiite bloc, drawing larger groups into opposition alliances.”
These sentiments came to the fore in the wake of Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant’s statement last week in which he asserted that “Israel has defeated the power of Hezbollah and is currently in the process of dismantling its economic and non-military infrastructure.” I am doing it.
“He is more widely accepted than Samir Geagea and is in a better position to appeal to Shiites and Sunnis,” said people familiar with the Phalange’s position, whose leader, Sami Gemayel, said he was more widely accepted than Samir Geagea. He says he believes it. In contrast, Geagia seems solely focused on promoting himself as the strongest Christian leader, the supreme authority in times of crisis. ” The flag of the Lebanese Army, a Christian political party, flies in Beirut, Lebanon, on September 16, 2020. (Credit: AZIZ TAHER/REUTERS)
the opposition acted rationally
Many believe that the Phalange forces “acted rationally and strategically, but the Lebanese army lacks competent and wise personnel to manage operations.” The Lebanese military has survived two scenarios that could potentially escalate tensions.
The first scenario concerns an incident in the Bint Jubail region, where young members of Hezbollah’s social work unit and the committee overseeing displaced persons set up tents at the entrance to a training site for displaced persons. This action sparked rumors that there was an armed person inside the tent.
It turned out that dozens of youths gathered around the tent and stormed it. Phalange forces dispersed the rally when the media made it clear that the team was acting only to provide support.
The second scenario also unfolded in Bint Jubail when members of the Zuaiter family constructed buildings on the disputed land. Communication and coordination between the Phalange and Lebanese forces made it clear that the land dispute was between individual Shiites and not an issue involving Christians.
There are continuing concerns about the possibility of “physical clashes” between Phalange forces and the Lebanese army, according to reports. The Council warns against this conflict and at the same time warns of a tense atmosphere that could lead to deliberate information leaks and unplanned responses amid mobilization efforts.
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Furthermore, there are concerns that “displaced people may not be able to leave Christian areas even after the crisis is over.” This is partly based on the expectation that Hezbollah will not be able to regain territory and that Israel may occupy parts of the south.
